Brendan Allen is the overwhelming favorite to win the main event of UFC on ESPN+ 90, with odds of -400. The 22-5 fighter has won five fights in a row in the UFC, with four of those wins coming by way of submission. However, his next opponent, Paul Craig, is also a grappling expert with an overall record of 17-6-1, including 13 wins by submission.
The odds for the upcoming fight are -104 for Brendan Allen and +280 for Paul Craig. The event will take place at the UFC Apex in Enterprise (Las Vegas), Nevada on Saturday, November 19, 2023, at 10:00 p.m. ET and can be watched on ESPN+.
There are several reasons why Brendan Allen is the favorite in this matchup. He has won the Performance of the Night bonus in two of his last three fights and is known for his grappling skills, as well as his striking ability. He has also secured five victories by KO/TKO, the most recent of which was in 2020 against Tom Breese.
On the other hand, Paul Craig, also known as “Bearjew,” is no stranger to upsetting the odds. Throughout his MMA career, he has defeated several big favorites, including Magomed Ankalaev, Jamahal Hill, and Nikita Krylov. He is known for putting on entertaining fights and has won eight Performance of the Night bonuses in his UFC career.
With his recent middleweight debut resulting in a win by TKO, Craig is in good form heading into the fight against Allen. Despite being the underdog, he has a history of defying expectations and could potentially secure another upset victory.
Given his track record of upsetting favorites, many believe that Craig has a good chance of pulling off another surprise win. Therefore, the prediction for this fight is in favor of Paul Craig.